Jobs Deficit Fuelling Afro – European/ Asian Migration – Kenyan Economist

Africa is facing a growing economic and demographic crisis as millions of young people enter the labour market each year without corresponding opportunities for decent and stable employment, forcing an increasing number to look beyond the continent for better livelihoods.

This was the crux of an analysis presented by Brian Muloni, a Senior Finance Business Partner based in Nairobi, Kenya, entitled; “Exodus Generation: Why Are Africa’s Young People Heading West?”

In a paper made available to LEADERSHIP in Uyo, Akwa Ibom State on Wednesday, the financial expert identified the widening gap between Africa’s youthful population and its capacity to provide jobs, as a major driver of the continent’s growing migration.

Muloni described the affected generation as one built around “hustle and hope,” but increasingly caught between rising aspirations and shrinking opportunities.

“The concern is particularly significant for Africa because its working-age population is expected to expand by hundreds of millions in the coming decades. While economies in Europe, China, Japan and other developed regions contend with ageing populations and shrinking workforces, African countries face the opposite challenge: an expanding pool of people seeking productive employment,” he noted.

According to the analysis, “the continent’s economies are not creating formal jobs at a pace capable of absorbing the growing workforce,” adding that although the informal sector provides livelihoods for millions, it often offers limited security, low incomes and little room for career advancement, making migration an increasingly rational option for educated and ambitious young people.

“The United States has emerged as one of the major destinations for this new wave of African migration, attracted by higher wages, educational opportunities, stronger institutions and the prospect of upward mobility. The attraction is reinforced by the growing number of African youths equipped with skills that are increasingly sought after in international labour markets.

“Data from the Migration Policy Institute (MPI), cited in the analysis, showed that about 2.5 million immigrants from sub-Saharan Africa were living in the United States in 2024, more than triple the number recorded in 2000. The figures point to a dramatic transformation in the scale of African migration to the US since the turn of the century.

“The scale of the shift becomes even more striking when viewed historically. Muloni noted that between 1990 and 2020, four times more Africans arrived in the United States than during the entire transatlantic slave trade. The comparison illustrates the extraordinary expansion of African mobility in the modern era,” he stressed.

However, he explained that the current migration wave was not driven solely by economic desperation, but a reflection of the growing capacity of Africans to compete globally, especially with the expanded access to higher education, smartphones, digital platforms and professional training, which he said, has produced a generation increasingly aware of opportunities abroad and equipped to pursue them.

“African migrants are also making a significant contribution to the US economy, citing the MPI data indicating that sub-Saharan African immigrants recorded a 77 per cent labour-force participation rate in 2024, compared with 63 per cent among US-born adults. About 46 per cent of sub-Saharan African immigrants also held at least a bachelor’s degree.

“Nigeria stands out in the educational profile of African migrants in America. The analysis, citing Brookings Institution data, said about 67 per cent of Nigerian immigrants had attained a bachelor’s degree or higher. Nigerians have consequently become prominent in critical sectors including medicine, nursing, technology and other professional fields.

“The rising African presence is also reflected in the broader US immigration landscape. According to MPI data cited in the analysis, Africans accounted for about five per cent of all immigrants in the United States in 2024, compared with a negligible proportion in 1960.

“However, the economic consequences of the exodus are not confined to the countries receiving African workers. Remittances from migrants have become an important lifeline for families and economies across the continent, funding education, housing, household needs and small businesses while providing foreign exchange,” Muloni added

The analysis, therefore , estimated that Africa received more than $95 billion in remittances in 2024. In West Africa alone, remittances reportedly exceeded $32 billion in 2023, more than twice the region’s foreign direct investment and about six times its official development assistance.

“Some African governments are now attempting to turn migration into a development instrument rather than treating it solely as a loss of human capital. Kenya has entered migration arrangements with Germany to train workers for specific jobs, while Ethiopia has explored sending nurses to European countries. Togo, meanwhile, has sought to mobilise its diaspora’s capital and expertise for domestic investment.

“The trend nevertheless poses a serious policy dilemma for African governments. The same educated and skilled young people needed to drive industrialisation, healthcare, technology and innovation are increasingly finding their opportunities abroad. Without substantial improvements in employment, wages and economic security at home, the incentive to leave is unlikely to disappear.

“For destination countries such as the United States, Africa’s expanding talent pool presents both an opportunity and a policy challenge. Skilled African workers can help fill labour shortages and strengthen key industries, but tighter immigration restrictions could redirect this increasingly mobile workforce to Europe, the Gulf and other regions.

“Ultimately, the continent’s demographic strength could become either its greatest economic advantage or a catalyst for a sustained talent exodus. As Muloni puts it, “the dream persists,” but the growing question is whether African economies can create enough opportunities to make that dream achievable at home rather than across the Atlantic,” the analysis stressed.